A · Overview
COUNTDOWN TO POLLING DAY

Penang PRN 2026

1 August 2026 · 40 DUN Seats · Majority 21

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~1,120,000 registered voters · Dissolved 5 June 2026

Net Δ (Before → Projection)
PRN Status
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🏛 Before vs Unjuran Gabungan

Kiri = komposisi semasa / pra-bubar. Kanan = unjuran (purata senario berwajaran) bukan salinan data semasa.

SEBELUM / BEFORE (pre-dissolution)

40
Total Seats
21
Majority Needed
1,120,000
Registered Voters
7
Battleground Seats

UNJURAN GABUNGAN (scenario-weighted)

🎯 PATH TO MAJORITY

Seats short of state majority and swing seats needed (approx.)

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B · Map & Fight

🗺 DUN SEAT MAP 40 CONSTITUENCIES

40

🧩 STATE CONTROL MAP

Projected bloc control by DUN seat click a tile for details

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⚔ MAJORITY WAR ROOM 21 SEATS TO GOVERN

C · Live Pulse

🔴 LIVE RESULTS CENTER

STANDBY

Real-time DUN seat declarations on polling day · Demo: ?demo=live

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📡 NEWS SENTIMENT RADAR

📰 ELECTION NEWS FEED

LIVE RSS

Malay Mail · Bernama · BM sentiment scoring

D · Methods

🎯 NEURALOPS PROJECTIONS Method 1: Scenario

Model: 40% PRN2023 + 25% GE15 + 20% sentiment + 10% demographics + 5% campaign

🎲 MONTE CARLO SIMULATION Method 2: Monte Carlo

50,000 trial runs across 40 seats · majority probability distribution

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🧪 GPT REGRESSION SIMULATION LAB Method 3: GPT Regression

GPT labelled

Multiple regression-style stress tests across turnout, youth, rural, sentiment and transfer variables

🎛 SIMULATION CONTROLS

Adjust live assumptions, then Monte Carlo and GPT regression will recalculate.

Pair stress under uniform seat shock
−5% Base +5%
E · Synthesis

📊 SIMULATION REMARKS Consensus

Refined analysis synthesized from all projection methods and media sentiment

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📜 ELECTION HISTORY