Melaka PRN 2026
1 August 2026 ยท 28 DUN Seats ยท Majority 15
Loading verdictโฆ
~600,000 registered voters ยท Dissolved 5 June 2026
๐ Before vs Unjuran Gabungan
Kiri = komposisi semasa / pra-bubar. Kanan = unjuran (purata senario berwajaran) bukan salinan data semasa.
SEBELUM / BEFORE (pre-dissolution)
UNJURAN GABUNGAN (scenario-weighted)
๐ฏ PATH TO MAJORITY
Seats short of state majority and swing seats needed (approx.)
๐บ DUN SEAT MAP 28 CONSTITUENCIES
28๐งฉ STATE CONTROL MAP
Projected bloc control by DUN seat click a tile for details
โ MAJORITY WAR ROOM 15 SEATS TO GOVERN
๐ด LIVE RESULTS CENTER
STANDBYReal-time DUN seat declarations on polling day ยท Demo: ?demo=live
๐ก NEWS SENTIMENT RADAR
๐ฐ ELECTION NEWS FEED
LIVE RSSMalay Mail ยท Bernama ยท BM sentiment scoring
PN eyes rural Jasin and Alor Gajah marginals after 2021 gains
Muhamad Akmal Saleh rallies BN grassroots in Merlimau ahead of poll
PH targets urban belt โ Kota Laksamana, Bandar Hilir, Ayer Keroh
CM Ab Rauf Yusoh confident BN can defend Melaka majority
Adly Zahari leads PH charge in Bukit Katil, aims to expand seats
Tightest 2021 margins: Serkam (79), Pengkalan Batu (131), Duyong (200)
Melaka polls set for 1 August after dissolution of DUN
2021 snap election context: 4 MLAs withdrew support from CM Sulaiman
๐ฏ NEURALOPS PROJECTIONS Method 1: Scenario
Model: 40% PRN2023 + 25% GE15 + 20% sentiment + 10% demographics + 5% campaign
๐ฒ MONTE CARLO SIMULATION Method 2: Monte Carlo
50,000 trial runs across 28 seats ยท majority probability distribution
๐งช GPT REGRESSION SIMULATION LAB Method 3: GPT Regression
GPT labelledMultiple regression-style stress tests across turnout, youth, rural, sentiment and transfer variables
๐ SIMULATION CONTROLS
Adjust live assumptions, then Monte Carlo and GPT regression will recalculate.
๐ SIMULATION REMARKS Consensus
Refined analysis synthesized from all projection methods and media sentiment
๐ ELECTION HISTORY
Live signal-flow analysis on election data
X / Twitter ยท Facebook ยท TikTok ยท Reddit ยท Instagram ยท Telegram